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| DOI： |
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| Evaluation of the Economic Risks in River Regulation Projects |
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BI Wenjing, XU Jixiao
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Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China
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| Abstract: |
| River regulation projects could give rise to economic risks to living and production of local residents and economy. Assessing the potentials and seriousness of the risks is hence important to economic recovery and social stability. In this paper we assessed the risks of the regulation project in Lixia river by issuing and analyzing economic-risks questionnaires in which the probability of occurrence of risks and their consequent impacts were quantified in five levels. We chose 14 factors in the analysis. The results show that on average, the social and economic risks of the Lixia river regulation project were moderate. The risks of some factors affecting local econmy were low, and the possibility of occurrence of serious economic risks was small. Based on the risks identified and their assessment, the risk prevention of Lixia river risk prevention measures were complemented and perfected. Thus, in the later similar river regulation project, related preventive measures could be put forward aiming at the key risks, which would have great practical significance to recover local residents’ living and to ensure that the project can be constructed undisruptively. |
| Key words: river regulation project; the economic risks; risk assessment |
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