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DOI:10.13522/j.cnki.ggps.2025183
Daily soil moisture prediction during winter wheat growth season using an SCSSA-CNN-BiLSTM model
CUI Song, WU Jin, ZHANG Naifeng, LIU Meng, HU Yongsheng, HE Yanan, GU Yue, LONG Xinya, WANG Zhenlong
1. School of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China; 2. College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China; 3. Wudaogou Hydrological Experimental Station, Anhui Academy of Water Conservancy Sciences, Bengbu 233000, China; 4. Nanjing Institute of Water Conservancy Science, Nanjing 210029, China
Abstract:
【Objective】Accurate prediction of field soil moisture is crucial for managing agricultural production and water-saving irrigation. This paper proposes a new method to predict soil moisture changes.【Method】The hybrid deep learning model, SCSSA-CNN-BiLSTM, was integrated with Sine Cosine Cauchy Sparrow Search Algorithm (SCSSA) for hyperparameter optimization. It was then combined with Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) for spatial feature extraction and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) networks for temporal sequence learning. The model was trained using meteorological data and soil moisture measured at three depths - 10, 30 and 50?cm - at the Wudaogou Experimental Station between October 2022 and June 2023. It was then used to predict soil moisture in the 0-20 cm root zone during the winter wheat growing season.【Result】① The optimized model accurately captured the spatiotemporal variation in soil moisture, with the SCSSA enhancement reducing RMSE by 44.5% from 1.394 to 0.774. ② The proposed model was superior to other methods; its statistical metrics are R2=0.960, RMSE=0.774, MSE=0.599, MAE=0.528 and MAPE=1.84%. The predicted results agreed well with observed data. ③ Comparative analysis showed that SCSSA optimization significantly outperformed GA, PSO and SSA in hyperparameter tuning.【Conclusion】The SCSSA-CNN- BiLSTM model is accurate for predicting soil moisture in the 0-20 cm root zone of winter wheat. It can be used for real-time irrigation management.
Key words:  neural network; sparrow optimization algorithm; soil moisture prediction; winter wheat